The UK is currently experiencing outbreaks of measles. Many children have been hospitalised and there has been one suspected death. This is an entirely preventable situation and would not be happening if there were sufficient levels of MMR uptake.
However, as I discussed in my last article levels of vaccination can vary enormously in the space of just a few miles. To blame the media and their positive reporting of Wakefield’s fraudulent scares is insufficient to explain the variations in vaccination rates. Other factors must apply, most probably local community beliefs regarding vaccination and alternative medicine.
We saw how some towns like Totnes have very low rates of MMR uptake probably due to the high levels of alternative medicine practitioners and beliefs within the town. One other strong factor might be the presence of a Steiner school or some other anthroposophical community.
The Health Protection Agency views Steiner Schools as “High Risk” and as “unvaccinated communities”. As such, they pose direct risks to the children within them and to the surrounding community. This is astonishing given that Michael Gove is currently considering at least 13 application for Steiner Schools to gain Free School status and to be publicly funded.
And Steiner Schools do suffer measles outbreaks. Michael Hall School, in Forest Row, last year held the inter-Steiner School Olympics. The Health Protection Agency asked them to not allow the expected visitors because of an outbreak of measles.
Steiner Schools deny they are anti-vaccine.
Hereford Steiner Academy, a state funded school, states on their website,
The decision to immunise or not is a matter of parental choice. Opposition to immunisation generally or to any national strategies forms no part of our educational approach.
Hereford link to the European Council for Steiner Waldorf Education who have issued a very strongly worded press release on the subject,
It has come to our attention that uncorroborated statements have appeared purporting opposition to childhood immunisation as the official or tacit policy of Steiner Waldorf School Associations and the institutions they represent.
We wish to state unequivocally that opposition to immunisation per se, or resistance to national strategies for childhood immunisation in general, forms no part of our specific educational objectives. We believe that a matter such as whether or not to inoculate a child against communicable disease should be a matter of parental choice. Consequently, we believe that families provide the proper context for such decisions to be made on the basis of medical, social and ethical considerations, and upon the perceived balance of risks. Insofar as schools have any role to play in these matters, we believe it is in making available a range of balanced information both from the appropriate national agencies and qualified health professionals with expertise in the field. Schools themselves are not, nor should they attempt to become, determiners of decisions regarding these matters.
How do we square such seemingly strong denials with the HPA’s view that Steiner Schools are unvaccinated communities? We have to remember that Steiner Schools are anthroposophical organisations. That is, they subscribe to the esoteric and initiated beliefs of Rudolf Steiner. As with all occult organisations, how they present themselves to the outside world may differ from internal initiated beliefs. The justification is that such beliefs can only be imparted to people who have undergone the right levels of preparation and initiation.
Strikingly, both statements above emphasise the role of parental choice (who is saying that this should not be the case?) and that schools have no role in their decision. The only role of the school is to make “available a range of balanced information”. Crucially then, we need understand what anthroposophical information might be on vaccination and how much of this is given to parents.
A recent Freedom of Information request shows us the impact of such approaches from Steiner Schools. “MIchelle” made a FoI request to Wye Valley NHS Trust asking for a list of schools that had opted out of the HPV vaccination programme. Specifically, a question was asked if any schools had “refused to allow either clinicians or school nurses to administer the HPV vaccine?”.
Only one school had refused: Hereford Steiner Academy. It may be worth going back and re-reading their statement.
So, whilst we can see that Hereford Steiner Academy issues statements that appear to refute the idea that there is either explicit or tacit opposition to vaccination, their actions are consistent with an antivaccination stance.
Where does anti-vaccine thinking come from in Steiner Schools? The answer is in the medical beliefs of Rudolf Steiner. Associated with most schools is an anthroposophical doctor who has received a mainstream medical education but then trained in Rudolf Steiner’s occult and spiritual medical visions.
St Paul’s Steiner School in London makes it clear what the school doctor will do,
The school doctor, a medical doctor with further anthroposophical medical training, visits the school twice each term. The child’s teacher makes referrals in consultation with parents. Children may be referred for pedagogical, health or developmental reasons. There is a nominal charge of £10 for a consultation and parents are expected to attend with their child. The doctor may prescribe anthroposophical or homeopathic remedies or therapies such as art therapy, massage or curative eurythmy sessions for which the parents are administratively and financially responsible.
The school does not carry out dental checks, hearing or sight tests, nor does it provide immunisation boosters.
One should understand that in the anthroposophical world, child develop problems are to do with issues of the spirit and soul incarnating properly into the child. Eurythmy is a form of dance that can aid in this spiritual maturation. Homeopathic remedies are just sugar pills. So whilst, the administration of sugar pills and magic dance lessons are high up on the agenda of the school doctor, actual health practices with real benefits, such as hearing tests and vaccinations, are not offered.
The rejection of vaccination is guided by a number of esoteric beliefs. Firstly, that childhood illnesses have a role in shaping the body and spirit and that these are a natural, if not vital part of growing up. Secondly, that the manifestation of illnesses is a consequence of karma or destiny. Interfering with either of these aspects can have calamitous results.
Steiner wrote that vaccination was an interference in ‘karmic activity”, That is, by interfering with karmic processes, delays in spiritual progression may occur. He said, “If we destroy the susceptibility to smallpox [by vaccination], we are concentrating only on the external side of karmic activity”. Corresponding spiritual lessons may not be leaned.
Steiner also believed childhood illnesses had a role in shaping a child both physically and spiritually. Here we see beliefs that coincide with those of homeopaths: that vaccinations are part of ‘allopathy’ and work by suppressing the natural healing processes. Steiner was an advocate of a form of homeopathic medicine and so it is no surprise we see convergence in these attitudes.
Dr Michael Evans is an NHS GP in Stroud, Gloucestershire, where there is currently a large excess in the number of measles cases and a large number of Steinerist organisations. He is an anthroposophical doctor and a member of the MHRA Advisory Board on the safety and efficacy of Homoeopathic Products. He wrote in a book on Steiner’s medicines that,
Against this background, the role of illness during childhood, particularly in the first seven years, can be seen in a quite different light from the conventional view. The opportunity for remoulding the physical body is provided by the constant dissolving and reforming of its structures. During feverish illnesses, all the metabolic processes speed up and the high temperatures can offer a special opportunity for a more intensive reshaping.
He sees diseases such as measles, mumps and whooping cough as part of the maturation of the child’s immune system and as a chance for the ‘ego’ to make a ‘stamp’ on the individual.
It follows from this that a suppression of the natural course of an infection will have detrimental consequences as well as short-term benefits.
Modern medicine, in the anthroposophist’s eyes is as much as the cause of illness as anything else,
The appearance of new illnesses [such as] Aids — might also be taken to suggest that the increasing number of people suffering from such disorders may be connected with the widespread and indiscriminate use of antibiotics and paracetamol, which weaken the immune system.
But what do parents in Steiner Schools think? Much of my criticism of Steiner Schools has been about how these schools do not reveal much of their internal beliefs and motives to prospective parents. With vaccination issues though, it would appear that these ideas rub off.
One research paper, wrtten in 2001, showed how Steiner parents viewed measles and their child’s experience of the disease. After a measles outbreak in Evan’s stomping ground of Gloucestershire, parents were asked about their attitudes to vaccinations and measles.
The research suggested that parents had fully absorbed Steiner’s teachings,
This type of medical practice [anthroposophy] is in favour of letting the body experience certain infections and is against the overuse of antibiotics, antipyretics and certain immunisations. Many adherents oppose the measles vaccine because they believe children gain physical and mental robustness from natural measles infection, when supported by appropriate nursing care. Indeed, as Hanratty et al note “the avoidance of immunisation in these communities is more than a refusal to accept conventional medicine
Indeed, parents were asked if they experienced differences in their child after infection,
Some 62% of these respondents reported a change in their child’s personal development subsequent to the measles infection, with many claiming a strengthening and maturing of their child both mentally and physically. Of the cases, 87% were reported to have been previously unimmunised with the measles vaccine.
That community was fortunate at that time. There were 126 responses in that survey. Only one child was hospitalised. The current outbreaks may prove to be much larger and more serious complications will occur with some of the children.
Steiner Schools, despite their reassurances that they are in favour of parent choice and do not tacitly or explicitly adopt anti-vaccine stances, are in fact places of anti-vaccine beliefs which manifest themselves in low vaccine uptake and pseudoscientific approaches to treating dangerous childhood illnesses.
As such, they do not just represent risks to the children unfortunate enough to be in those schools, but to the surrounding communities. Even with successful general vaccination campaigns, such as being conducted at the moment, anthroposophical pockets of unimmunised children are unlikely to be reached due to the cult-like nature of their world. As such, programmes to create community immunity will fail in areas associated with Steiner Schools.
There is, therefore, a case to be made for mandatory inoculation for children attending state-funded schools. Whilst, this will not reach the larger number of private Steiner Schools, the new influx of children to the Free School programme, whose parents may not be aware of, or share the anti-vax beliefs, will at least be better protected from the type of beliefs inculcated within such schools. More practically, mandatory school participation in public health vaccination drives should be part of the conditions of receiving public funds. This would at least stop the sort of refusals seen by Hereford Stainer Academy to allow parents to use in-school vaccination programmes.
Mandatory vaccination programmes are perhaps the only way of protecting such children from these beliefs. Under this government, there is virtually no chance such ideas will be entertained.
I have been sent the consultation report that was made for the Frome Steiner Academy before it received public funding.
The submission from the local NHS Somerset Health Protection Coordinator echoes my concerns. I reproduce it in full,
Response to the consultation on the proposal for the Steiner Academy
Following discussion with our partner organisation Somerset County Council, NHS Somerset would add the following comments to the consultation on the proposal for the Steiner Academy Frome from a public health perspective. Whilst our organisation cannot make any comment on the educational approach of the school we would like to raise awareness of the potential health protection issues for children attending this school and also potential
implications for the wider local population. We are aware from our knowledge of other Steiner schools in our area that a significant number of parents elect to opt out of the routine childhood immunisation programmes offered to children across England. Whist we can identify no direct reference for this approach in the Steiner philosophy our experience suggests such attitudes to immunisation might be applicable to the parents choosing this type of education. Whatever the rationale for such a decision, we respect the right of parents to choose how they wish to care for their child including choices in respect of immunisation.
However, we are aware that where groups of unvaccinated children exist in close proximity this potentially poses a number of risks to their health and to
that of other siblings who might attend other schools. Whilst the primary aim of vaccination is to protect the individual who receives the vaccine, there are also wider community benefits. Vaccinated children are unlikely to be a source of infection to others. This reduces the risk of unvaccinated children being exposed to infection and means that children who cannot be vaccinated will still benefit from the routine vaccination programme. This concept is called population or ‘herd immunity’.
For example, babies below the age of two months, who are too young to be immunised, are at greatest risk of serious morbidity or mortality if they catch infections such as whooping cough. These babies are however protected from catching whooping cough when older siblings and other children have been routinely immunised as part of the childhood immunisation programme. This also applies to people who are living with a compromised immune system, such as children undergoing chemotherapy for cancer, who are not able to safely receive vaccination themselves.
If a high population wide vaccination rate is not maintained, it is possible for diseases which were previously thought rare to re-emerge and threaten the
health of the wider community. For example, the number of cases of Measles has doubled across the South West recently, something which we only saw occasional cases of in the past. If an unvaccinated class of children is exposed to a case of measles it is highly likely that the majority of those pupils will catch measles and then become a source of infection for other vulnerable people in the community.
Evidence of outbreaks of preventable disease has previously been published relating to similar establishments in both the UK and also Europe.
References for these papers are detailed below for information. These papers demonstrate both the potential susceptibility in these unimmunised
populations and the implications for further transmission to the wider population within which the establishment is sited.
It is not possible to quantify the level of these risks for either the school or the community as too many variables exist, however, it is important to recognise that the potential risks do exist and increased surveillance by all parties will be required to mitigate against these should this application be approved, which may therefore potentially increase demands on both local health and education services.
The HPA report difficulties in getting cooperation from a Steiner School.
Confirmed measles cases in England and Wales
In England and Wales, 777 laboratory confirmed measles cases have been reported so far in 2011 to the end of July (table 1 and figure). One-hundred cases had onset in July compared to 133 in June and 176 in May, although the number for June is known to be an under-estimate as around 80 unvaccinated children with clinical measles associated with an outbreak in an anthroposophical school declined to be tested for measles infection.
Sorry to plug my own blog but this is an account of a very anti-vax talk hosted at Brighton’s Steiner School in 2012 http://www.simonclare.co.uk/site/?p=74 See you at Brighton SitP on 22nd May!
I think you are right to highlight the false nature of this “choice”. It is not a choice between equally poised and valid positions. It’s a choice between good science and public health versus crankery.
Yes, there’s choice and there’s informed choice.
This quote would be funny if it wasn’t scary:
“The appearance of new illnesses [such as] Aids — might also be taken to suggest that the increasing number of people suffering from such disorders may be connected with the widespread and indiscriminate use of antibiotics and paracetamol, which weaken the immune system.”
And from a medical doctor, no less.
Antibiotics, used indiscriminately, do significantly weaken the immune system through interfering with gut bacteria and disrupting the protective layer of organisms humans have evolved with.
Frequent Paracetamol usage during pregnancy is now being linked to disorders in the offspring and is used with caution in labour due to its ability to disrupt prostaglandin production.
I don’t see how paracetamol weakens the immune system but there are so many unknown unknowns in terms of medical research that in 20 years or so, he might just have a valid point!
People can live with HIV and never develop AIDS, the people who do are usually compromised by something else. Coupled with low transmission rates through “normal” human interaction (consensual vaginal intercourse, childbirth, breastfeeding) it is entirely plausible that a healthy and robust microbiome does provide some degree of protection against the virus. Thus you can argue that repeated, indiscriminate and unrequited use of antibiotics would increase the chance of somebody contracting HIV and subsequently developing AIDS.
Stick a dirty needle in your vein, have infected semem enter rectal capillaries (blood supply from the rectum does not go through the liver, hence why it’s such a good route for medication) or be violently raped and the odds of transmission are higher due to associated trauma and the bypassing of protective microbial films.
[having real problems getting posts submitted at the moment]
What I meant to go on to say was that by the mere fact of presenting this matter as a choice, where we are implicitly invited to regard choice as an unalloyed good, they are de facto helping the anti-vax stance.
I remember trying to find out about Steiner schools and vaccination a while back. I found this position statement that seems to suggest that vaccination is not recommended in Steiner schools in Switzerland and Lichtenstein: http://translate.google.com/translate?hl=en&sl=fr&tl=en&u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ersge.ch%2Fjoomla%2Fimages%2Fpdf%2Fprise%2520de%2520position%2520rougeole.pdf and this report of a measles outbreak in Essen: http://www.eurosurveillance.org/ViewArticle.aspx?ArticleId=19605 “In total 71 cases occurred from 15 March to 19 May (four cases hospitalised), with the majority linked to a Waldorf school.”
The latter also refers to this outbreak in Berlin: http://www.eurosurveillance.org/ViewArticle.aspx?ArticleId=19527 “The index patient is attending a private school (Waldorf-Schule; anthroposophic education). The proportion of students vaccinated against measles in this school is estimated to be significantly below 70%. Parents sending their children to Waldorf schools and kindergartens are known for their critical attitudes towards vaccinations in general and especially with regards to measles vaccination. Thus, the outbreak spread mainly among unvaccinated children and adolescents attending Waldorf institutions (schools and kindergartens in two districts) and their siblings.“
Of course it’s no different in California and Highland Hall in Northridge tops the anti-vax list:
“There were 110 private schools statewide where more than half the kindergartners skipped some or all of their shots, according to AP’s analysis, with Highland Hall Waldorf School in Northridge — where 84 percent opted out — topping the list.”
You make an interesting argument that pockets of unvaccinated children like those in Steiner schools could be responsible for the current measles outbreak. But that’s true for any pocket of unvaccinated children, not just Steiner schools.
In fact, the current outbreak is mostly centred around Swansea, and there doesn’t seem to be a Steiner school in Swansea, so that rules that theory out: http://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-news/measles-outbreak-swansea-officials-warn-3158550
Also, shouldn’t measles only affect the unwashed, unvaccinated masses? I know no vaccine is 100% effective and some vaccinated people will contract the disease, but for there to be an epidemic, there would have to be one of two factors:
1. Most people in the area are unvaccinated, and/or
2. The vaccine is not offering effective protection.
It’s the latter that worries me the most because what if people were wondering around thinking they’re protected when in fact, they were inoculated with a bad batch of the vaccine?
As for the former, there would have to be a heck of a lot of Steiner families to trigger an epidemic. Looking back at Swansea and its lack of a Steiner school, something else is at play here (or are you suggesting that the whole of the Swansea Steiner community is actually commuting to Cardiff on a daily basis, yet aren’t infecting people there nearly as much as in their home town?)
I just checked, and – unless I missed something – there isn’t any mention of Swansea in the post. There is a map of cases which if accurate shows that they in fact are not limited to Swansea.
I also think it seems a pretty large leap to suggest the implication of the post is that Steiner schools are responsible for the Swansea epidemic. My reading of the post is that given the presence of a disease, the presence of a sizable deliberately unvaccinated population puts others as well as itself at risk. Steiner schools could likely be such a population.
(It also advocates mandatory vaccination in state education, which the libertarian in me balks at, but I take the point)
In addition, I don’t think your conditions for an epidemic are an exclusive list:
[quote]1. Most people in the area are unvaccinated, and/or
2. The vaccine is not offering effective protection.[/quote]
1. is surely not accurate. You don’t need less than 50% of people to be unvaccinated for there to be ineffective herd immunity. If you replace ‘most’ with ‘some’, it would be a better suggestion, especially with a large population.
2. is possible, although I’d be interested to know if you have any evidence that it is the case. In any event, if your concern for people who have been vaccinated with a ‘bad batch’ is real, wouldn’t a logical position for you to advocate be that everyone should be vaccinated to reduce the chance of ‘bad batch’ people being exposed to disease?
I suspect 2. is considerably less likely than even my modified version of 1.
You’re right, Andy doesn’t talk about Swansea, which is why I provided a link to a welsh article which stated “Although the outbreak is centred mainly on Swansea…”
“I also think it seems a pretty large leap to suggest the implication of the post is that Steiner schools are responsible for the Swansea epidemic”… Well, the article is called “Steiner Schools, Vaccination and Measles Outbreaks”, the supposed link between the outbreak and Steiner schools is right there.
Re vaccines not offering adequate protection, you responded: “I’d be interested to know if you have any evidence that it is the case”. Actually, no, I was just guessing because I found it odd, personally, for an outbreak to happen like this, in a first world country, when so many people are in fact vaccinated. It was a supposition on my part, so I went to google and lo and behold, scientists are talking about “vaccine failure”, whereby a vaccine doesn’t offer any protection from the disease it’s supposed to be protecting against (there’s even a primary and a secondary type of failure).
So it’s not a bold new idea and maybe, before we start rounding up the hippies and forcing them to get vaccinated, we should check how many of the children currently in hospital with measles were in fact immunised at some point in the past. Does anyone know?
Oh and btw, if there’s a “bad batch”, I don’t think it’s a good idea to immunise everyone “just in case”, because which is the bad batch and which isn’t? How would we know for sure?
I’m afraid you are simply showing why argument from personal ignorance is a rather useless strategy.
Measles is extremely contagious, so you need a high level of herd-immunity to stop the virus linking up unvaccinated people into an outbreak. Our populations amount to millions so even a minority of such populations represent large absolute numbers of people.
No. It’s a link you’ve made for yourself. Andy is describing in generic terms the risk that Steiner schools lose because they create pockets of unvaccinated children and suggesting that they can represent a local factor that can explain heterogeneity in vaccine coverage. Whether there is a steinerist population in these currently affected areas does not affect the validity of this argument.
“I’m afraid you are simply showing why argument from personal ignorance is a rather useless strategy.”
Not personal ignorance at all, but puzzlement and as I said, people with much bigger brains than mine have been talking about this and are calling this “vaccine failure”, where immunised people get infected nonetheless. That’s a big concern. It may be that some vaccines don’t work and this could be a reason for the epidemic we’re currently seeing in the uk.
It could also explain why pockets of unvaccinated people link up.
“It’s a link you’ve made for yourself”
Then why not just call the article “vaccination, measles outbreak and unvaccinated people” or words to that effect? Why target a specific group in the title if you don’t want people to make the connection? Sensationalism, much?
Vincent. it has been made perfectly clear to you by BSM. Go back. Have a read. And have a good, long, hard think.
Sorry, I missed this.
I’d imagine, among other things, epidemiologists would look into whether people showing signs of measles had been vaccinated.
Isn’t your last paragraph somewhat of an argument against any vaccination?
Not at all, it’s a potential concern that if vaccinated people aren’t actually protected, how can we know which vaccine is a good vaccine and which one isn’t?
Of course, we need to wait for reports that show how many of those affected by the epidemic had been vaccinated in the past – if any.
But – given sufficient quality control and clinical trials – until any vaccine receives sufficient challenge, isn’t it impossible to tell if bad batches even exist?
Is your argument then if there is an outbreak of X in an area where some vaccination against X has occurred, then all vaccination against X must stop, in case there is a bad batch? That seems counter-intuitive, and as I suggested before less likely than not enough people having been vaccinated to provide herd immunity.
G-Po: Until any vaccine receives sufficient challenge, isn’t it impossible to tell if bad batches even exist?
Then we should all be grateful to the Steiner school , and other less immunised, communities for providing the challenge. 🙂
How effective is MMR vaccine?
More than 95% of the people who receive a single dose of MMR will develop immunity to all 3 viruses. A second vaccine dose gives immunity to almost all of those who did not respond to the first dose. Copied from:
So from the above the vaccine should be very effective.
Since when do we not need two shots to get proper immunity? The first shot gives us immunity for a few weeks/months, the second lasts years.
Why is the government saying you only need one dose and the second one is only to make sure the few that weren’t immune the first time get immunised then? (I’m blaming the government because you’ve linked to a .gov website)
This goes against what I’ve been taught is how the immune system works.
Um…it’s a live virus vaccine.
I expect you were taught about the difference between live and dead vaccines.
Not at all, it’s just a classic immune response: if you get infected once, you body will respond to it and then forget about it over time. Multiple exposure means this disease is rife in the local area, so your body will produce a more aggressive response which will protect you for years, or even your entire lifetime.
To acquire a long immunity, you must be infected more than once.
Vincent, the rapidity of your reply suggests you did not follow the lead that I gave you and its content reinforces that impression. I’m sorry, but I’m not going to pursue this any further with you.
Just to add the ranges to immunity after MMR: measles 90-98% after 2 doses (2-5% of toddlers do not respond with seroconversion after the first dose), mumps and rubella 90-97% after the first dose.
For Vincents reasoning to be valid the “attack rate” of the contagion needs to be disregarded. Even with an efficacy of 98% the numbers for measles might be higher for vaccinated patients than for unvaccinated ones, simply due to differences in population size…
What would be your take on this report, Andy?
Bear in mind that the Incas had a rough time thanks to little natural defence against measles in particular. Such a situation could repeat itself in the West should the system break down eventually here. The good times may not last forever and the price of energy, food and commodities are already affecting people’s lives around the world. What if immunisation programs suddenly stopped altogether? Whole countries could be wiped out because of no natural immunity.
This is the side to the problem that you prefer to ignore.
This reminds me: am I right in remembering that vaccinations protect you only for about 10 years? Unlike catching the actual disease which actually protects you for life (assuming you survive it of course).
So people who were vaccinated as children, may not be immune to measles once they become teenagers – and it looks like teenagers are the ones being affected now.
Going to look for links to confirm or deny my memory – unless someone here can help me out?
It is interesting that you point to a blog post and not the paper. The paper makes a case for early vaccination.
The thing that quacks never speak about when discussing ‘natural’ immunity is what the cost that immunity is: that is, the exposure of the population to a dangerous disease with all the death, blinding and harm that this carries.
Or is this is the side to the problem that you prefer to ignore?
I thought you would ignore my central point and was correct (!) Immunisation programmes take place all over the world and many in remote places. It is highly feasible / inevitable that some populations will without warning have supplies of vaccine suddenly stopping in the future. The cost of a litre of petrol in a remote part of Africa can be horrendous.
Western governments may well reduce funding to such projects – There is plenty of such talk in Westminster these days
People will as a result be in danger of being virtually wiped out by conditions such as measles. They will be left dangling on a string at the mercy of NGOs and richer countries.
Regarding your last point regarding the paper suggesting even earlier immunisation as a solution to poor artificial immunity, that does have the flavour of Alice in Wonderland. But the research was hardly financed by an impartial observer (!) so there should be no surprise there.
So let me get this straight.
You would rather millions of children around the world were killed, blinded and handicapped by diseases like measles rather than fear a safe, cheap and effective means of protection might fail somewhere for unknown reasons.
Measels has a simple cure in homeopathy.
Morbillinum, Pulstilla, Belladona and Arsnic are used referring to symptoms present.
Well there is no doubt that administered in sufficient quantity arsenic will mean measles will no longer be a problem for the patient,
No it does not. Spreading this lie in the face of a serious public health matter is just another example of the despicable behaviour of homeopaths (of the type our friend Grumpycat claims not to exist).
Badly Shaved Monkey
Measles is listed under compulsory vaccination in India. Most children are vaccinated. Many are not.
Majority of children end up with measles. A lot of deaths occur because there is no cure available of the resulting complications.
Homeopathy has perfect record of treatment of such cases. Cure starts after measles is seen on the patient.
Provide the title, journal and date of the PubMed indexed study written by qualified researchers that homeopathy cured measles compared to no treatment.
@badly shaved monkey,
I’ll indulge you. Here’s a definition of a killed vaccine:
“The immune system reacts to the presence of the pathogen in the same manner, whether the organism is alive or dead.”
It does state that “immunity produced by a live, attenuated vaccine is usually more effective.”
So I checked a definition of attenuated vaccines. Part of it states: “boosters are required less frequently”
Not “not required”, but “required less frequently”
I had to check just in case humans had evolved since I studied immunology at university, and I’m glad to see my knowledge is still relevant.
Sorry, but BSM didn’t make anything clear at all. I know how the immune system works, having studied it for years.
One last post then I really am done with this.
But those years of study seem not to have told you why primary vaccination regimes differ between killed and live vaccines.
I’m sorry again, Vincent, but there is a gulf of misunderstanding here that you need to bridge for yourself.
You don’t need years of study to understand that a live vaccine will breed, so the little they give you will spawn within you as you fight it off, whereas a dead vaccine will not replicate, meaning that what they give you in the injection is all your immune system has to work with.
At a very basic level, that’s why live vaccines are better when they can make it (and when it’s not dangerous for you to have it)
But whether it’s live or not, you need a booster to get a long immunity to the disease. It’s actually more mathematics than biology, really.
“You don’t need years of study to understand that a live vaccine will breed, so the little they give you will spawn within you as you fight it off, whereas a dead vaccine will not replicate, meaning that what they give you in the injection is all your immune system has to work with”
And you claim to have studied immunology at University. May I ask which one if you make statements such as the above!
One county in central North Carolina, US reported 4 cases of measles in children, 3 of whom attend a local Waldorf school. The school was not thought to be the source of the infection. No information was provided about current vaccination status.
We are used to thinking of the second vaccine as the Booster shot to boost the immune response. The MMR however is a bit of a different story.
The first dose is effective in about 95% of cases. Immunity is believed to be lifelong. The second dose is not inteded to provide a boost (If immunutity is strong, the live virus may not “take”, in which case no boost provided). It is intended to give the other 5% a chance to have a successful vaccine response.
I havent read up on this in a while so I would happy to be corrected with references.
“The first dose is effective in about 95% of cases. Immunity is believed to be lifelong.”
Immunity to what, exactly? The NHS has now stopped testing pregnant women for rubella status as so many have lost immunity despite being vaccinated. Even vaccinating again after first birth there was a high rate of immunity being lost by the second pregnancy. Due to very low rates of infection despite high rates of lost immunity it is no longer cost effective to give rubella vaccination post childbirth.
So the childhood MM works but the R is useless.
There’s a new measles outbreak in the USA – and the author has made the connection between Waldorf schools and the measles outbreaks.
Not just Steiner schools – independent private schools too http://www.telegraph.co.uk/health/healthnews/10021904/Private-school-pupils-at-greatest-measles-risk.html
Bit over 5000 children in Steiner schools, Ashton articles claim 600,000 in private ones, to put things in perspective.
My point exactly: why is Andy singling out Steiner schools? As I said earlier, the epidemic in Wales is mostly centred around Swansea, a town that doesn’t even have a Steiner school.
No, … He singled out Waldorf:
“Interestingly, this is not the first time that a student at a Waldorf School has developed measles in the last few years. An unvaccinated student at the Mountain Laurel Waldorf School in New York developed measles in 2012 and another case was linked to the Charlottesville Waldorf School in 2011.”
Anyone can read the article… why pretend it said something different John?
Strange that there have been no figures highlighting how many of the 1000 plus cases have previously been given the MMR?
If I were a cynic……..
I would bet a sizeable amount of folding readies that none of them had received the MMR vaccination.
Thus the long queues to get kids vaccinated.
As a benchmark how many of the global smallpox cases involved vaccinated people. Oh, hang on, there weren’t any were there because vaccination eradicated it. Like it almost did with measles and would have done were it not for Wackfraud, his acolytes, the meeja morons in the press and the feckin eejit parents who cannot read and do not know the meaning of post hoc ergo propter hoc.
Interesting reply, however there have been reports of whole classes being affected by measles in Swansea. strange that, considering uptake of the vaccine was 85%. I’d have a bet with you, however I doubt we will ever be privvy to the facts.
I wonder if your view would alter in any way if you were a parent of a child who witnessed the ‘lights going out’ within days of their MMR. Coincidence no doubt.
I’m not doubting that vaccination works, but surely there must be some recognition of the fact that a small minority of sensitive children have an adverse reaction whilst 3 live virus’s are introduced via the blood stream? Do we doubt that a small minority of people have an adverse reaction to peanuts or shellfish?
You’re right. And the evidence supports that contention. Well done, Derek.
peanut and shellfish reactions? Coincidence again no doubt. Silly people don’t know the meaning of ‘post hoc ergo propter hoc’
Post hoc ergo propter hoc is not just the mother of all superstitions, it is the mother of all logical fallacies, or vice versa. It generates more stupidity than you can poke a stick at.
I assume the lights going out reference meant an autism diagnosis. Nothing more than coincidence. Sad but coincidental. Nothing to do with MMR. Mostly a function of concentrated medical attention at that age.
LCN (I think) summed it up many blogs ago with “I had eggs for breakfast and it started raining. Ergo, eggs make it rain”. Boring old (lower case) canard but correlation ain’t causation.
‘Eggs and rain’ don’t really have the same feasible link as ‘immune system assault and autoimmune disease’ you see where I’m coming from?
The road to hell is paved with biological plausibility
It looks like data from Swansea is suggesting MMR is 99% effective with just a handful of cases in the vaccinated population.
So if that’s correct, the swansea epidemic isn’t caused by vaccine failure, nor by Steiner schools.
But I do have two questions:
“The data also suggests that one dose of MMR vaccine has shown to protect against measles in more than 95 out of every 100 cases vaccinated – higher than previous experience.”
Yet, according to the link JimR gave us, http://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/vpd-vac/measles/faqs-dis-vac-risks.htm “More than 95% of the people who receive a single dose of MMR will develop immunity to all 3 viruses.”
How can the Swansea result be “higher than previous experience” when it actually matches the exact percentage from August 2008 (when the gov article was written)?
It would also be good to know the age of those “fewer than 10 cases”. It is claimed that MMR gives lifelong immunity, but it only started being used in the 80s and human life span is much longer than 3 decades. How can we know for sure that it does give us lifelong immunity?
Could it be possible that people vaccinated in the 80s and 90s may no longer be immune now?
Vincent, the MMR vaccine has been used since 1971. It was being used in many countries prior to its introduction to the UK in 1988.
It was noted in the mid-1980s that there were outbreaks in populations with only one dose, so in the USA a second dose was added for ten year olds in the late 1980s. Then that second MMR timing was moved to age four/five sometime around the turn of the century.
It would be very interesting if you could provide evidence that the whole classes who contracted measles were in fact 85% vaccinated. Sadly, without said evidence, it’s just hear say.
One more question – why does my GP receive an c£8000 bonus if there is sufficient uptake in MMR? Surely incentives should not be required for such a fundemental safeguard unless the ‘salesman’ is not fully sold on the product.
Does this vaccination bonus actually exist? There used to be a much smaller ‘bonus’ which I understood was not a sweetener but to cover additional costs to practices for covering all vaccinations and not just MMR (ie including polio, diptheria, etc) which were a public good, but I can’t see any evidence of it in the last ten years.
Your quite right, my info was outdated and now realise that the system changed in 2002 after GP’s suggested that they were losing the confidence of their patients as a result.
Announced this week – GP’s to receive £16.53 per MMR in a new drive to immunise those that ‘slipped through the net’
ie £1653 per 100 jabbed.
Why the “bonus”. Because of the disproportionate resource required to get the children of those who have been fooled into the surgery for vaccination. Ten years ago when our children were being vaccinated, the surgery nurse would spend 3 mornings a week trawling the community, visiting homes pleading with parent to get their kids vaccinated. Herd immunity is critical for a highly contagious disease. The “bonus” to the surgery is nothing compared to the cost of life long care for an avoidable disability. So is there a conspiracy here working the other way, from those who may “profit” from an increase in such disabilities? No. Why? Because generally those who are pro vaccine base their arguments on evidence.
“The AP analysis found 20 of the 25 California private schools with the highest opt-out rates are “Waldorf schools,” a loose association of institutions founded on the teachings of 19th-century philosopher Rudolf Steiner. He favored a holistic approach to education and medicine and thought childhood illnesses could be beneficial.”
On the issue of Steiner Education in general, and its relation to vaccination and alt-med, you might like to read my piece at http://stumbles.org.uk/John/Steiner/skeptic
With regards to your comment: “I wonder if your view would alter in any way if you were a parent of a child who witnessed the ‘lights going out’ within days of their MMR. Coincidence no doubt.”
I agree it would be hard not to associate the two things if you were the unfortunate parent. But even if there is no connection between MMR and Autism there will be some children who show the first symptoms of their Autism within a day (or a few days) of a vaccination. Even if there’s only a 1 in a million chance of the two happening close enough together that you would think they must be connected, when you’ve got hundreds of millions of children world-wide (or even just in the English-speakihg, Internet-connected world) that will give you hundreds of cases you can hear about on the internet.
So, yes, it could be coincidence. The only way you wouldn’t have such coincidences would be if vaccines actually prevented autism!
Despite the rather bland reassurances of governments and official health bodies that “studies have shown vaccines are safe”, actually a hell of a lot of studies have shown that to be so. There’s a study from Japan where there was a problem with supplies of MMR so they went back to single vaccines: there was no drop in Autism (in fact it went on rising). There have been studies based on records of hundreds of thousands of children in Denmark, Finland (I think) and parts of California which have compared autism rates between vaccinated and un-vaccinated children (no difference), autism rates amongst children who’ve had different numbers of vaccinations, different total amounts of vaccines, studies looking at whether there’s a link with Diabetes, allergies, whether vaccinated children are prone to more other illnesses (coughs & colds etc) … it really does seem that apart from the known side effects the regular childhood vaccines are not producing other diseases. (And the known side effects are mostly non-life-threatening and in the rare cases where they do cause serious harm or even death the probability is much lower than the risks of similar harms from catching the diseases the vaccines protect against.
And the issue of “90% of infected children were already immunised”?
That’s a case of “lies, damned lies and statistics”!
No vaccine is 100% effective so in an outbreak a small percentage of vaccinated people will get ill as well as a large percentage of unvaccinated ones. If most people are vaccinated then even the small proportion of them that still catch it may still outnumber the unvaccinated ones. And even if the vaccine didn’t protect them entirely it may still lessen the severity of the illness for them.
I saw a recent article about a possible method of very early diagnosis of autism, shortly after birth. The article stated that this could allow very early intervention that may significantly improve the outcome for those so diagnosed.
My take on that is the early identification would preclude post hoc ergo propter hoc associations because autism identification would precede many things now associated with its cause.
Ah, but the mothers have been vaccinated….
But, you’re right though, to the reasonably sane this would move vaccination right out of the frame
There is evidence for a link between MMR and Autism
John Stumbles citation argues for complete vaccination of women of child bearing age against German Measles, the R in MMR. Preventing Rubella in the mother during pregnancy prevents Congenital Rubella Syndrome in the baby which prevents Autism Spectrum Disorders (ASD) in the child. The conclusion of the article endorses widespread vaccination.
This is wonderful; direct evidence that MMR vaccination in fact prevents ASD not causes it. Wackfraud had it completely backwards.
Yes, Mr. Stumbles’ comment appears to be the opposite of what the link describes too.
You said “Mr. Stumbles’ comment appears to be the opposite of what the link describes too.”
I had said “There is evidence for a link between MMR and Autism”
What i said was actually true, although it was also deliberately misleading. In order to understand why I worded it like that you may like to consult http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Irony
John, I’ve sparred with you enough to know why you were “deliberately misleading”. Nice try though. 😉
It is rarely possible to have a rational conversation with the jabbophobes. If something is demonstrated beyond reasonable doubt they merely move the goalposts, exactly the same as creationist dimwits. It is the live vaccine – it is not live/it is the mercury – there is no mercury/it is too many too soon – no it isn’t. The whole batch of stupid is fuelled by big breasted/small brained dumbos like Mary Mccarthy and gurning fools like Jim Carey.
In fact jabbophobia has almost become religious in that same way that creationism is. It has become a matter of belief rather than rational discourse. As an example you can read posts where a mother complains that her first child was fully vaccinated and was then diagnosed as autistic. Naturally she blames the MMR vaccine. Her second and third children did not get the pejorative “Jab” yet are autistic nonetheless. Whereas any sane person would look for a genetic, environmental or developmental explanation she still blames the “Jab” – as if an attenuated vaccine could somehow leap from body to body.
And they lie shamelessly. A US jabbophobe website (possibly AoA) posted that their were 24 deaths as a direct result of girls getting the HPV vaccination. When some vaguely more rational types looked into this they found that indeed 24 young girls had died. One fell down a well, several were killed in road accidents and the rest died from pre-existing conditions or accidents. However, this became an internet meme and has assumed the status of unarguable truth.
For what it is worth that large scale Scandinavian study referenced above showed a slightly lower incidence of autism among the vaccinated cohort. Unlike the jabbophobes the epidemiologists did not clutch at straws and suggest it prevented autism.
The Japanese experience referenced above was not one where there were inadequate supplies of the MMR vaccine. The Japanese government stopped MMR vaccinations because of a well organised campaign by (possibly well-meaning) but incredibly half-witted jabbophobes. It is true that the rate of autism continued to increase after MMR was stopped. Jabbophobes do not understand that this might indicate a lack of any causal relationship becuse their faith is unshakeable
Orac has made a second career moonlighting as an anti-jabbophobe and has excoriated the half-wits in countless postings on Respectful Insolence (but the rational among you probably knew that).
Do you have references for the HPV debunk, the Scandanavian study showing lower autism amongst the vaccinated and for the Japanese move to single vaccines being a result of an anti-MMR campaign rather than shortage of the combined vaccine? (I’m writing an essay about vaccination and would appreciate all the reliable sources I can get for it.)
The lower incidence of autism among the vaccinated is particularly important. After posting that link to the study showing that the Rubella vaccine should reduce the incidence of autism I realised that the implication of that is that if autism rates were no different between MMR and non-MMR groups it would suggest that the fall in autism dues to the rubella vaccine must be balanced by a rise due to some other factor.
Quite agree about Orac: I find him a fount of wisdom not only on vaccines but all sorts of med-v-alt-med issues.
Lastly I must take you to task for what I regard as a sexist comment regarding Mary (surely Jenny?) Mccarthy. I don’t think the size of her breasts has any bearing on the merits (or otherwise) of her arguments!
I do not have the time, patience or inclination to dig out the references, at least not immediately.
I realise that is somewhat reprehensible but this stuff is effectively a PRATT.
As the scraggy simian has oft pointed out “Google your friend is. Use it wisely”. Books and original articles are sometimes useful.
I will make an effort tomorrow in an effort to atone for the sins of poor references and sexism
Apologies for the sexist comment. And yes I did mean Jenny – I stand corrected, which is more than any jabbophobe will ever admit to. I suppose that having your busty substances augmented does not automatically qualify you as a moron – but it is usually a useful indicator. And just to compound my crime, and also to prove I am a tolerant person, I would if she asked me nicely. Although she is a moron she has a certain pulchritudinous quality.
Try looking at JABS by Becky. A virulently (ho ho) anti-jabbophobe site.
(though given your penultimate paragraph I think that’s a misnomer)
No worries if you don’t have references to hand. Yeah I know STFW, but my google-fu doesn’t always have the necessary quantum vibrational energy karmic field.
Although it did yield to ‘PRATT acronym’ so I’ll go to bed happy tonight.
You could start with this item in the New Scientist. http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn7076-autism-rises-despite-mmr-ban-in-japan.html
Google “Japanese MMR autism” and you will get loads of stuff, including the Honda study.
Have a good punt around Pubmed. You should pick up the Scandiwegian study, although it might be firewalled.
Interesting point as to why the Scandinavian study showed less autism in the vaccinated cohort. I had assumed it was a statistical fluke based on the much larger size of that cohort versus the unvaccinated mob (probably mostly new age nutjobs and religionist dimwits). I think (from memory) the study covered 530,000 children over a long period so it is pretty authoritative.
I fear Derek is an implacable jabbophobe and as such beyond reason and rational discourse. I said in the 3.33 post above that jabbophobes merely move the goalposts when the going gets tough, a point made by LCN in his 1.31 “whooooosh” post. Natural selection will hopefully remove them from the gene pool within several generations.
One can only hope.
It is a great shame that the sins of the nutjob parents are visited on their children.
John, this paper has some background on the Japanese MMR,:
It seems it had the Urabe mumps component and they experienced meningitis, so they just stopped producing their MMR and later made vaccination for measles voluntary.
Thanks for that Chris.
Bloody hell, what a mess! Unless things have changed a lot in the last 10+ years it looks as if we have to add Japan to South Wales, Steiner schools and UK private schools as places to go if you want to catch Measles!
There were a few outbreaks here in the USA that came from Japan. One included an international youth sports competition.
There is some literature in the PubMed from Japanese researchers expressing lots of concern over them exporting measles:http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18346240 . Which says: “Imported measles cases and outbreaks involving Japanese travelers have been reported from the United States and other countries. For the United States, Japan is the top country of origin.”
The city I live in on the American west coast is a common destination for Asian travelers. Every year or so there is a notice that someone came on a plane with measles. The worst was when eight out of ten kids from one family got measles at a church conference most likely from someone attending from Japan. That outbreak caused totaled nineteen.
There was an outbreak imported from Korea a few years earlier in a private school too close to my neighborhood. My two younger kids did not need their second MMR until they turned ten, but I took them in for the booster when they were five and nine. The next year or so the age of the second booster was lowered to four/five years old.
I made a reference to the JABS website and unfortunately cross referenced it to Becky’s anti-jabbophobe website (or at least it could have been read that way).
JABS is a website of complete and utter batshit jabbophobia populated by what William Boyd called CAUCs. I wouldn’t bother trying to post anything even remotely rational on it (should you feel so inclined) as the nutjob harpy that runs it will just delete your post, throw you off and block you. Derek is probably a regular contributor.
Becky’s website is http://jabsloonies.blogspot.co.uk/
If you are writing something on the sheer lunacy and stupidity of jabbophobes Becky’s somewhat forthright blog is as good a start as any. She has, errrm, a way with words (to say the least) and is not exactly backwards in coming forwards with her vituperative prose. I love her.
A remarkably smoothly complexioned Spotty M
(Some jabbophobe twats are as devoid of cultural references as they are of scientific ones)
With reference to the autism rates still increasing despite MMR being withdrawn at the time in Japan – It has never been suggested that MMR was the only cause of the dramatic increase in children being diagnosed with autistic tendencies ( please do not give me the old chestnut ‘ detection methods have improved’) there are obviously other causes especially if you are adamant that vaccines play no part.
Cancer rates per se would still increase if the world stopped smoking therefore does that mean that smoking does not cause cancer?
Autism is a general term that describes a whole range of behavioural issues.
It seems pretty clear from the many studies looking for evidence of any link between autism and vaccines that there isn’t one (or actually, as the study I posted a link to yesterday suggests, that Rubella vaccination helps reduce autism).
Old chestnut or not it’s not clear how much of the increase in autism/ASDs is real and how much is due to people being classified as such who wouldn’t have been in earlier times. Critics ask – reasonably enough – if autism has been with us for many decades where are the now middle-aged and elderly profoundly autistic children of earlier generations? The answer, sadly, horrifically and outrageously is, as autistic disability rights activist Rachel Cohen-Rottenberg reports (based on Fred Pelka’s book “What We Have Done: An Oral History of the Disability Rights Movement”), that the autistic children of former generations were locked away in institutions of such degredation, inhumanity and abuse that few survived into old age.
It is quite possible that autism is actually really increasing. It seems we still know little about its causes. But just because it’s increasing and the number of vaccinations children receive have also incresed over the years doesn’t mean they’re connected. As someone rather facetiously observed you can find a very convincing correlation between autism and another factor: http://media.boingboing.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/1WZ6h.png
That was the sound of some rapidly moving goalposts.
to suggest that Rubella vaccination reduces autism, yet deny the possibilty that vaccines can be associated with autism is quite staggering. You can’t have it both ways… having your cake is not enough it seems.
Derek, I shall assume that you present illogical arguments through sheer laziness.
It is perfectly logical to hypothesise accines could be linked with both positive and negative effects. Whether they have any specific positive or negative effect is decided on the basis of evidence. The evidence clearly tells is MMR does not increase the risk of autism. If there is evidence that vaccination against a disease known to affect neural tissue actually reduces the risk of autism then this would be a good, if unexpected, thing.
I’m not denying that it’s *possible* that vaccines could cause autism.
But it does seem that the mass of research into the possibility shows fairly conclusively that it doesn’t actually happen.
Illogical? as opposed to your big Pharma funded ‘research’? How many decades of so called research ‘proved’ no link between smoking and lung cancer? Too many sheeple brainwashed by a sytem with a vested interest.
Explain please the recent multi million dollar awards in the U.S. and Italy to victims of the MMR.
If the vaccine is 99.9% safe, out of 500,000 vaccines given, 500 children will have their lives snuffed out – how many measles victims (with no underlying health issues) in that period would be devastated to the same degree? Remember the WHO and the swine flu panic? more people died from the common flu virus during that period.
Scaremongering as per usual, a media driven frenzy where no counter arguement is ever aired.
Strange, don’t you think, the measles panic in Wales is rapidly disappearing from our screens and papers?
Regarding court awards like the Italian one:
In November 1999 Sally Clark was convicted of the murder of her first two children on the basis of what was later acknowledged to be a gross and grotesque miscarriage of justice, due largely to basic misunderstandings of statistical probabilities by prosecution, defence, judges and juries alike. (Put simply it was as if the winner of a lottery jackpot were prosecuted for fraud because the odds of them winning the jackpot legitimately were so slight that it must have been fraud.)
In March 2003, in a case similar to Sally Clark’s, Dutch paediatric nurse Lucia de Berk was sentenced to life imprisonment for murder largely on the basis of the Dutch courts’ mind-bogglingly incompetent grasp of statistics.
In October 2012 an Italian court jailed six scientists for failing to correctly predict the magnitude of the 2009 earthquake that devastated the city of L’Aquila, despite the obvious and well-known limitations to seismology’s predictive abilities.
And In June 2012 an Italian court ruled that MMR vaccination caused autism in a child.
It seems fairly clear that courts are capable of grossly misunderstanding science and especially probability. In the case of the Italian MMR – Autism ruling there seems no evidence, apart from the coincidence of the child’s parents first noticing symptoms of his autism a few days after his vaccination, for linking the two.
and in America?
CBS News has found that since 1988, the vaccine court has awarded money judgments, often in the millions of dollars, to thirteen hundred and twenty two families whose children suffered brain damage from vaccines. In many … cases, the government paid out awards following a judicial finding that vaccine injury lead to the child’s autism spectrum disorder. In each of these cases, the plaintiffs’ attorneys made the same tactical decision made by Bailey Bank’s lawyer, electing to opt out of the highly charged Omnibus Autism Proceedings and argue their autism cases in the regular vaccine court. In many other successful cases, attorneys elected to steer clear of the hot button autism issue altogether and seek recovery instead for the underlying brain damage that caused their client’s autism.”: [Vaccine Court: Autism Debate Continues – Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. and David Kirby Huffington Post 24 Feb 2009]
1322 awards in 1 year – say no more, please.
Mr. Kennedy was known to get things very wrong, multiple times. Here are the statistics for American vaccine injury compensations:
A bit over 3200 claims have been compensated in the last twenty three years. There were not over a thousand given in one year. Most of them are “Table Injury” compensations. Which means there is a list of known vaccine reactions listed on a table, so if a child has seizures within ten days of an MMR vaccine, they are awarded without much fuss. Even though the seizures may have another cause (like the illness my son had two weeks after his MMR).
The USA is a big country. About four million babies are born there each year, which means at a 90% vaccination rate there are several million vaccines given to children per year. And in over twenty years that is hundreds of millions of vaccines given.
So what percentage is 3200 of (6000000kids/year *0.9* 25 vaccine * 23 years) (*100 for percent)? Well it is 3200/310500000(*100 for percent) or 1/970312(*100 for percent) or 0.0001% . What else is there to say?
That lawyers like Robert Kennedy can’t count? Or read? Or do science? Or that you should never trust a former travel writer, David Kirby, who was paid to write a book on vaccines, a subject he knows nothing about?
Spotty, (obviously not from measles, just really bad acne one suspects/hopes)
some salient points for you from a speech given by a U.S. congressman given in the house of representatives, April 23rd 2013.
‘When I was young, autism was virtually unheard of. In the 1980s
rarely did you meet someone who knew someone with autism. Yet, in the
1990s there was an explosion of autism. Indeed, in the course of just
my lifetime, Autism Spectrum Disorder has grown from a very rare
condition to–according to the Centers for Disease Control–a
developmental disorder affecting 1-in-50 school aged children. And,
tragically, the rate for school aged boys is a disturbing 1-in-31’
‘I must concur with the experts
who have been willing to speak out, that the epidemic increase in the
rates of autism are not a ‘genetic’ epidemic. Indeed, you don’t have
genetic epidemics. While there is likely a genetic component to many
who have been diagnosed with Autism, we must seriously consider that
there are likely several key factors in autism.
Also, so some who have suggested that the increase in Autism is due
to better diagnosis, you don’t go from 1 in 1,000 to 1 in 80 in three
decades due to better diagnosis alone. And, if that were the case,
where are the tens of thousands of autistic adults in their 40s, 50s
and 60s. While better diagnosis may be a factor, common sense says
there is a real increase and something is causing it.’
‘I was pleased to participate in a November 2012 House Oversight and
Government Reform hearing on the Federal Response to Autism. That was
one of the most attended hearings I have participated in since coming
to Washington in 2009. Indeed at this hearing it was standing room
only, and overflow rooms had to be used to accommodate the public. This
was a much anticipated hearing from many parents of children suffering
from Autism who want clear and unbiased answers to questions
surrounding the epidemic.’
– a lot of interest in the welfare of ‘nutjob parents’ and their kids.
Full link: http://beta.congress.gov/congressional-record/2013/04/26/extensions-of-remarks-section/article/E576-1
Measles outbreak, Islamabad April 2013.
While talking about the causes of the measles outbreak, he said that there was an urgent need to study the epidemiology of the disease, as more than 50 per cent of the children brought to the hospital were those who had already been vaccinated against measles
– said Dr Tabish Hazir, head of the paediatrics department at the Children Hospital.
Kinda messes up a few researched posts on here, does it not!
I don’t know if it messes up some posts, but as I pointed out to you a few days ago it’s a case of “lies, damned lies and statistics”: if vaccines are less that 100% effective then there will be some vaccinated people amongst those who get ill during an outbreak, and if a large proportion of the population have been vaccinated then those vaccinated-but-stil-caught-it people can outnumber the unvaccinated victims. This percentage tells us about as much as “50% of the population are below average intelligence” does.
What we’re really interested in is what percentage of the population gets ill: 10% of a largely-vaccinated population is a much better outcume than 90% of a largely unvaccinated one
 I know: median not mean!
“lies, damned lies and statistics”
Of course, head of paediatrics at a children’s hospital would be a prime candidate for the above.
That article is missing some information.
What measles vaccine? Where were they manufactured? How were they stored (was the cold chain maintained)? How many vaccine doses?
Even though the article said: “Dr Hazir said that all components of mass vaccination including correct case identification, recognition of the high-risk population group, quality control checks on vaccines, maintenance of cold chain, evaluation and estimation of seroconversion must be diligently implemented across the country.”
This article clarifies a bit more:
One third are under a year old, and it is only one dose of a measles vaccine.
You say “some salient points for you from a speech given by a U.S. congressman given in the house of representatives, April 23rd 2013.”
Well of course US politicians are well known for their grasp of science!
“‘When I was young, autism was virtually unheard of. In the 1980s
rarely did you meet someone who knew someone with autism. Yet, in the
1990s there was an explosion of autism.”
That’s the sort of “evidence” that is prone to be highly unreliable due to the availability heuristic http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Availability_heuristic
As Rachel Cohen-Rottenberg reports the reason the US congressman didn’t come across autistic children in his childhood is that they were locked away in institutions.
Some pretty massive institutions must have been around to house tens of thousands of HIDDEN people – we are talking about America in the 50s, 60s & 70s, not Hitlers pre war Germany for goodness sake.
my previous post regarding the situation in Islamabad, completely nullifies the vast majority of comments on this board – as I’m constantly being told, you cannot argue with facts.
50% failure to protect via MMR should be the end of discussion, or do I sense a Whoooooosh coming on !!!
What measles vaccine do they use in Islamabad? Is it the MMR used in either the UK or USA? If not, then it has nothing to do with either MMR vaccine.
By the way, developing countries have their own measles vaccines, and often they are not the MMR, and not manufactured in Europe or the Americas. Plus you need to make sure that the cold chain is maintained, because in places with very little refrigeration it is difficult to keep the dry powder that is mixed with sterile water viable (which is how the measles vaccine comes). It then needs to be used within eight hours after being kept at certain temperatures.
‘This article clarifies a bit more:
One third are under a year old, and it is only one dose of a measles vaccine.’
I think you may want to read the link again – Istanbul is not Islamabad! Nice try.
Well that was a sleep deprived mistake (why do happy little birdies have to sing at 4am?). It still does not answer the question on the doses, the type of measles vaccine or the cold chain.
Or how Robert Kennedy could claim the NVICP awarded more than a thousand claims in one year? Or how 3200 compensations is even a drop in the bucket in over three hundred million vaccine doses?
and what percentage of cases actually go all the way to compensation? A tiny percentage I suspect are ever reported or where a connection is made, after all, every attempt is made to discredit anyone who would attempt to make such a ludicrous claim.
Your drop in the bucket would make a fairly big splash I fear.
I gave you the link with all of the statistics. You really do not understand what “Table Injury” means do you?
The level of evidence for the Autism Omnibus was 50% plus a feather. All of the testimony is online, all you have to do is read it. This page is a good place to start:
Those are only legal rulings. There has been plenty of science done in several countries on three continents that show no real correlation between autism and the MMR vaccine.
The MMR vaccine has been used in the USA for over forty years. Vaccine safety surveillance has removed a couple of the early measles vaccines from the 1960s, the OPV vaccine and the first rotavirus vaccine (RotaShield), smallpox were replaced or removed. And in Canada, Japan and UK the MMR vaccines with the Urabe mumps component were removed fairly quickly (Urabe was never used in the USA).
So you would have to produce scientific evidence more convincing that the hundreds of millions of doses of MMR has caused more harm than measles than some legal cases.
50% failure of a measles vaccine – quod erat demonstratum.
Official stats from Public Health Wales:
For the entire period 1 January to March 31, 2013 for the whole of Wales there were just 26 laboratory confirmed cases out of 446 notifications: 10 in January, 8 in February. And in March just eight cases out of 302 notifications for the whole of Wales.
That is a percentage rate of over-diagnosis and over-notification in March of 3774% or just 0.027 of notified cases were actually measles, or are the official figures wrong?
“lies, damned lies and statistics”
I was hoping one of our well-informed and infinitely patient commentators would answer this but if they have I’ve missed it so I’ll have a go.
My answer is: I don’t know.
I had already come across this elsewhere
where we are told:
It was also in http://childhealthsafety.wordpress.com/2013/05/03/2013-uk-fake-measles-epidemic/ which also had the figures you quote:
Derek, may I ask what you think?
Do you think there is a conspiracy to scare people into getting MMR?
If so, why just in the Swansea area?
It it a pilot, sort of a test run for a nation-wide scare to get everybody in the country MMR-ed?
I suppose you don’t think there could be any other explanation, Like “All Wales surveillance of laboratory confirmed infections” could refer just to infections confirmed in the laboratory? I notice they don’t list *any* colds: why are they covering this up? Maybe because Big Pharma hasn’t got a vaccine they can push on the sheeple for that yet?
all the best
First, please do not confuse the conditions in Pakistan with the UK and USA. It is like confusing apples with dirigibles. The vaccine and infrastructure is completely different.
Now you need to provide real PubMed citations that there is a 50% failure of either the American MMR or the one used in the UK. They are two different things. Provide real scientific citations, and do not mention any other countries.
If you still claim there is huge failure, then tell me exactly why the incidence of measles fell 90% in the USA between 1960 and 1970, as shown with the following census data. Do not mention deaths, do not mention other countries (England, Wales and Japan are not part of the USA), and do not mention any other decades:
Year…. Rate per 100000 of measles
1912 . . . 310.0
1920 . . . 480.5
1925 . . . 194.3
1930 . . . 340.8
1935 . . . 584.6
1940 . . . 220.7
1945 . . . 110.2
1950 . . . 210.1
1955 . . . 337.9
1960 . . . 245.4
1965 . . . 135.1
1970 . . . . 23.2
1975 . . . . 11.3
1980 . . . . . 5.9
1985 . . . . . 1.2
1990 . . . . .11.2
1991 . . . . . .3.8
1992 . . . . . .0.9
1993 . . . . . .0.1
1994 . . . . . .0.4
1995 . . . . . .0.1
1996 . . . . . .0.2
1997 . . . . . . 0.1
John Stumbles, the problem with the Public Health notice from Wales is that the numbers are over a month old, mostly because the tests take time and the paperwork takes even longer. It does not take into account the steep rise in cases in April, those numbers will probably be out in a couple of months.
Also, the more than eighty needing hospital care cannot be ignored, all of those will be most likely confirmed. Though I believe the emphasis is keeping them alive and not disabled, the testing is a minor point.
It looks like the less than honorable Clifford Miller and John Stone are tilting at windmills.
“The level of evidence for the Autism Omnibus was 50% plus a feather”
“50% failure of a measles vaccine – quod erat demonstratum.”
Derek, you’re getting more and more confused. The 50% to which Chris referred is the test used in a civil court to assess a balance of probabilities in determining liability. It has essentially nothing to do with actual probabilities calculated from actual data by the methods of statistics. Nor is it a prevalence or incidence of vaccine failure. It is not a real number derived from data at all. You have already been shown how badly legal tribunals handle scientific data.
It’s demonstrandum, by the way.
Not confused at all really, I was referring to the 50% of cases in Islamabad were previously vaccinated, as mentioned in a previous post. If correct,(and why would we doubt the findings of the head of paediatrics at a childrens hospital) the whole reasoning for measles vaccination is flawed.
Apologies for my incorrect spelling – glad you can put me right in one area at least.
So, your post in response to Chris’s was a complete non sequitur. If that’s what you want, then fair enough. I’m not sure that your owning to a logical fallacy is a good substitute for your confusing the legalistic misunderstanding of probability its proper mathematical basis, but you obviously regard it as preferable. Anti-vaxers have many ways to be wrong who am I to dictate which one they choose?
“of probability FOR its proper mathematical basis”
But you knew that was a typo.
Carry on with your clever diction and waffle. I’ll stick to the facts that are undeniable. If it looks like a duck…..
I’ll leave you with an interesting graph showing the incredible effect measles vaccination had on measles related mortality.
Derek, the acronym PRATT was new to me until the recent discussion here. It is relevant again now.
Do you really truly not understand how case incidence and total mortality are disconnected from one another? Do you trot out these ridiculous non-arguments because you think they actually work?
Derek, listen, once you have seen each of your arguments refuted, do not return to them like a dog to its vomit. As a rough rule, if you think you have found some clever anti-vaccine argument, before you use it in a public forum, do yourself a favour and see whether its been busted already. As a further rough rule, if your source is some anti-vax website you can be sure it’s been busted. All their arguments have been but they repeat them over and over.
One thing I must thank you for is the opportunity to look a little further into this topic.
If I said any more on the subject, I’d only be repeating what others have said before.
Derek, I have just been looking a bit further into the topic of PTRATTish arguments and recognise now why I find them so obnoxious. It’s not that they are wrong; we’re all allowed to be wrong and learn by having that corrected. The problem with PRATTish arguments such as yours is the inherent dishonesty in them.
But this is all getting a bit too xkcd386 for a lovely sunny day like this.
Thanks for the cartoon on scienceornot. I thought it was a documentary. Been there a thousand times and I now realise why people like Dawkins R. will not enter into a debate with creationists. There really is no point arguing with an idiot – the best you can hope for is to win an argument against an idiot.
To be fair (coughs politely) websites such as Answers in Genesis do actually advise IDers not to use most of the arguments that dimwit cartoon character used, primarily because they are PRATTs and make the proponent look stupid and/or unread (or perhaps even more stupid and poorly informed than they appear at first glance).
I am surprised that PRATT is new to the Honourable Guardian Of The Logical Fallacy as you indirectly put me onto it by virtue of a reference you made to the Gish Gallop.
I get annoyed at the 747/junkyard analogy. That was originally formed by Fred Hoyle as an argument against abiogenesis, not evolution by natural selection. As far as I am aware he had no issue with evolution but believed in panspermia, where life arrived on Earth in microbial form from a comet. Obviously that merely telescopes abiogenesis back in time and origin so does not really explain much. Plus it is almost certainly cobblers. The 747 argument is also cobblers as the multiple technological evolutionary strands which allow us to make a 747 are very easy to determine. Poor old Fred – denied a Nobel because he was such a cantankerous old git. Furious for half his life because the term “big bang” which he intended originally as an insult became common usage.
Is jabbophobia the new creationism. Discuss.
It turns out that, just when I think I’ve scraped the bottom of the Barrel of Stupid, one of the planks comes loose, I lift it and there’s a whole new barrel underneath.
Alas I fear you have hit the nail on the head.
The universe might not rest on a giant tortoise but it does seem to rest on an infinite pile of barrels of nonsense.
No matter how much Stupid you come across there is always a cosmic karmic energetic quantum pile of rubbish below it which trumps all previous stupidity.
It’s not a d*ck swinging contest whereby your pro vaccine blog carries more weight than others that are not – to cut through the mire, the fearmongering that has gone on with regards to Swansea has continually emphasised the ‘fact’ that measles is a killer and used this line to whip up fear and panic. The graph clearly shows (if you follow the pretty red line) that deaths from measles would be virtually non existent post 2006.
please show me where the information displayed, collated by the Office for National Statistics for England and Wales, has been ‘busted’?
In comparison, approximately 10 people per year die in the UK as a result of a severe reaction to peanuts. Let’s ban the import of peanuts.
Don’t confuse deaths and incidence.
You made a claim that Robert Kennedy, Jr and David Kirby wrote that the USA compensated over a thousand vaccine injury cases in a year. The following are the actual statistics, tell me what year that was:
Also, I have listed American census information on the incidence of measles above. Tell me why the measles morbidity dropped 90% in the USA between 1960 and 1970. Do not mention mortality, any other country or any other decade.
“Don’t confuse deaths and incidence.”
I now think Derek just doesn’t ‘get’ the problem.
Ah well, the coals are hot. I’m off again.
I accept that the graph did not represent the decline in cases over the period, only the deaths.
And you got it from where and you posted it for what reason?
Now, answer Chris’s question.
They were all in vietnam?
That does not make any sense. Measles is so contagious over 90% of children had it before age fifteen.
Now explain with actual citations how the American incidence of measles dropped 90% between 1960 and 1970. Do not make excuses, do not mention any other country, do not mention deaths and do mention any other decade.
That was my attempt at humour whilst discussing a serious subject.
An excellent piece of research/information which clearly suggests that the incidence of measles in the U.S., declined in a period when measles vaccines were introduced.
Happy BSM? You see, clear, precise factual information from a reliable source is the way to make a point, high brow waffle mixed with fact and bias does not ‘cut it’ with people genuinely seeking answers.
If you were to look at an earlier post I made, my beef was not with the vaccination per se. It was with the vehement denial that a small minority of children could be predisposed to having a reaction to having some 24 doses of live vaccine injected into their bloodstream before school age.
I speak as a parent whose first 2 children experienced a physical reaction post vaccine and as a result was determined to find a possible explanation. We have a family history of allergies and were subsequently advised (unofficially) by a sympathetic GP to avoid further vaccinations.
I have 3 healthy strong robust children, excelling in every area and am frequently asked ‘ what our secret is?’
I would like to think ‘our secret’ is to have our childrens welfare, nourishment and education at the core of everything we do and would aggresively challenge anyone who suggested such parenting is irresponsible when the topic of vaccination rears it’s head.
My other posts were triggered by the aloof stance of some who appear to suffer from cleverdickitis and being Glaswegian, ex forces, I have to have a go!
” 24 doses of live vaccine injected into their bloodstream before school age.”
What vaccines are injected into the bloodstream?
I am a parent of a child who had seizures from an actual disease before there was a vaccine for it. So do tell me how that “small minority” of children would react if exposed to the actual disease, like measles.
Notwithstanding the xkcd386, I’ve got the barbecue lit so I’m back for a few mins.
“It’s not a d*ck swinging contest whereby your pro vaccine blog carries more weight than others that are not”
No, Derek, it’s the facts presented in the blogs that count. You have now had it explained to you why your graph concerning measles deaths was misleading. Do you accept that the way you used it was misleading?
I’ll not post anything else in response to you until to address this issue.
Chris, your not going to split hairs are you? are you trying to suggest that vaccinations via a needle are not rapidly absorbed into the bloodstream are you?
As for your other point, well at least their body would be responding to a disease acquired in a natural way and as such, the body has lines of defence, evolved over thousands of years, to combat such an assault. It is totally unatural for the body to fight 3 virus’s at once – is it so incredulous to accept that an infant’s immune system could overreact in some cases? In the same way do you not believe that some people’s immune system can overreact inexplicably to a protein found in peanuts?
An expalnation of the body’s first line defence by someone qualified to do so:
The purpose of the vaccination is to get the body to produce antibodies which will provide immunity for a time against a certain disease. In 1949-1950, the British Medical Council carried out an extensive investigation to determine the degree to which anti-diphtheria antibodies, produced by vaccinations, helped the public resist diphtheria. Since the disease was epidemic at the time, the government had a large number of cases to work with. In their official 1950 report, they disclosed that the presence of antibodies were of no help of any kind in resisting diphtheria. Some people developed the disease who had high antibody count while others with low count were highly resistant (British Medical Council Report, #272, May 1950).
Dr. Wenddel Belfield, of San Jose, California, explains the mystery:
“Antibodies are not needed when the primary immunological defense [leukocytes, interferon, T-cells, etc.] is functioning at maximum capacity . . Antibody production appears to occur only when the ascorbate level, in the primary defense components, are at low levels, thereby permitting some viruses to survive the primary defenses.”W. Belfield, M.D.
Yes, you continue to demonstrate your lack of understanding of the basic science. Next time try references that do not predate “A Structure for Deoxyribose Nucleic Acid”, Nature 171, 737-738 (1953). Try to keep them less than twenty years old.
Actually, they reason they are not rapidly absorbed in the bloodstream is because they get flushed out and leave very little time for the immune response to get educated. Using that “into the bloodstream” canard shows that you really don’t understand the science, much like you just demonstrated with your mistaken comment on evolution.
There is no evolution end point of “perfection.” It is more of stand off between pathogen and body. If a virus kills off all of its hosts, it is no more. But if it kills off only one out of a thousand, then it is okay dokay. It is just that we has humans don’t like the idea of hundreds of kids dying from measles every year.
As far as not being able to handle three viruses at once, that is just silly. At the present you are breathing several types of viruses with each breath, and you’ll consume several more with your next meal. Don’t even think of how many enter your skin when you scrape knee, or even that your body contains more bacteria than the cells that you are made of. Even in the MMR there are fewer antigens than contained in just one breath of a measles infected air an hour after someone infectious with the virus was in the room (it is very contagious).
Also, the polio vaccine which was introduced in the 1950s contained three different polio serotypes, three different viruses. The influenza vaccine had three to four different serotypes, and the DTP, DTaP and Tdap vaccines all have three different bacterial bits. Do you have evidence that they cause more injury than the actual diseases.
Also, if you want to split hairs: the MMR vaccine with the Jeryl Lynn mumps component was introduced in the USA in 1971. It was the preferred vaccine for the 1978 Measles Elimination Program. So there was more than a decade of use in the USA before it was used in the UK.
So how come in less than a decade’s use in the UK was the MMR vaccine implicated with autism, and not in the USA with much longer use, and a much bigger country? Wakefield could have easily looked into the effects of a particular MMR vaccine in not only the USA, but several other countries. Where are the papers dating before 1990 showing an association between MMR and autism, especially from the USA?
So you are suggesting that a serf from the middle ages, was no more likely to succumb from measles than an unvaccinated person today?
link to talk given by Max D. Cooper, M.D. – Immunology, Emory University.
title – ‘ How did our adaptive immune system evolve?’
(note to self – email the above and tell him he’s mistaken)
Actually, he is not. You just do not understand what the page says.
Because he has not even given the talk yet. June 6, 2013 is next month.
Seriously, do some basic biology research. Perhaps attend some science lectures near to your home. You might learn something.
Actually, yes. The measles virus has been stable for centuries, and they would have had the same chance with measles as anyone else without access to medical care. The only reasons that the mortality graphs show decreases are because these things we call “hospitals” and “modern medicine.”
Remember the black plague “only” wiped out half of Europe. There were still enough around to live on. And it has not gone away, it still exists in several places, like the American southwest. It is treatable with antibiotics. Just like Scarlet Fever, which is the same strep A bacteria that causes strep throat.
Also measles is just one disease. It took a combination of measles, smallpox and a few others to wipe out 90% of the native American population (much of it was starvation, because the adults who got the food died leaving children and infirm to die). And they still exist.
There are evolutionary changes due to pathogens. One of them being a mutation that protects against malaria if inherited from one parent. If it is inherited from both parents, then the child will have sickle cell anemia.
It is all fascinating stuff, even when I first encountered in a beginning biology class. You might try doing a bit of reading on basic biology, evolution and history.
Can you explain the following.
My 13 year old son contracted German measles last year after a Spanish boarder at his school inadvertently infected some pupils at school after Easter break. My son stayed at home for a full 14 days to avoid passing on the virus. Neither myself, my wife(she was vaccinated at school in the 70’s) nor my other 2 children were affected. How do you explain the fact that 4 other people, living in close proximity to my son did not develop the disease, if no such natural defences exist? (okay, my wife is the easy one to explain)
I can’t because I neither know the vaccine status, nor if they had had rubella before. It is very mild disease, sometimes there are very few symptoms.
The next question is why are you asking about the danger of the MMR vaccine when it seems no one in your house, nor the boarder had received it.
Now, do tell us exactly how a child will suffer more with the MMR vaccine than they will measles, mumps and rubella?
Are you seriously suggesting that poor nutrtion & poor sanitation do not weaken one’s ability to fight disease? So starving African children with filthy drinking water will be okay as long as they are vaccinated? Please, this is getting silly now.
The poor nutrition does. But that does not apply to your basic European or North American. All things being equal, if you used time travel to bring a baby back from the middle ages, let them grow up in a modern home with food and medical care, they would fare just as well. Perhaps growing taller than his medieval parents.
Maybe I’m being stupid here but I’m missing what is silly about suggesting that if you stop someone, whose ability to fight disease is weakened due to poor nutrition & sanitation, from getting the disease (by vaccinating them) then they’ll be OK.
I mean obviously vaccinating them isn’t going to improve their nutrition & sanitation but I don’t think you were inferring that or suggesting that Andy meant that. So what’s silly about stopping someone getting ill whose ability to fight illness is impaired?
As I read it that could mean “no more likely to catch” or “no more likely to die from” (although My Friend Google suggests the latter may be more correct usage).
I read Chris’ reply as being to the “catch” meaning but I think you, Derek, meant “die from”.
So you could both be right 🙂
I meant die from. The mortality rate for the middle ages versus Clifford Miller silly graph on CHS on mortality rates is affected by basic health improvements, and since the 1950s that is hospital care and modern medicine.
I think Derek is trying to argue that in the past five centuries humans have developed a better immunity to measles, and the vaccine is not necessary. He does not seem to understand the basics of biology.
“I think Derek is trying to argue…”
I’ve thoroughly lost track of what Derek is trying to argue. I think he has too.
I was merely stating that I am gobsmacked to hear that you believe nutrition and sanitation have no bearing on a body’s ability to fight infection. As far as you are concerned the only reason we die less from such diseases is better healthcare ie hospitals and good nursing.
‘I think Derek is trying to argue that in the past five centuries humans have developed a better immunity to measles, and the vaccine is not necessary. He does not seem to understand the basics of biology’
I took your advice and read up a bit:
Here’s a clip – Malnutrition is the primary cause of immunodeficiency worldwide, with infants, children, adolescents, and the elderly most affected. There is a strong relationship between malnutrition and infection and infant mortality, because poor nutrition leaves children underweight, weakened, and vulnerable to infections, primarily because of epithelial integrity and inflammation (figure 1) . Five infectious diseases—pneumonia, diarrhea, malaria, measles, and AIDS—account for more than one-half of all deaths in children aged <5 years (figure 2) .
Worldwide, ∼2 billion people are affected by micronutrient deficiencies, including vitamins A, C, and E and minerals zinc, iron, and iodine. The effects are poor growth, impaired intellect, and increased mortality and susceptibility to infection. Micronutrients have a relationship to antibody formation and the development of the immune system. These ill effects are preventable by supplements, fortification, and diet change. The Copenhagen Consensus  project on hunger and malnutrition even suggested that efforts to provide vitamin A, iron, iodine, and zinc generates higher returns than do trade liberalization or malaria, water, and sanitation programs.
Link – http://cid.oxfordjournals.org/content/46/10/1582.full
Perhaps a basic course in the benifits of nutrition is available near you?
And this great long meandering detour on which have have chosen to embark has exactly what relevance to the issue of low MMR vaccination in some communities?
What point are you trying to make, Derek?
No point to make – as is common in debates where opinions are polarised, other related issues come up and are discussed.
It’s been fun folks. It has opened my eyes somewhat to the frightening ability of obviously well educated, intelligent people to be totally blinded by their utter refusal to listen to others.
When Chris stated that a serf from the middle ages (not renowned as a time of plenty, shall we say) was no more likely to die from the onset of Measles than someone today, well that just finished it for me.
Of course he subsequently backtracked, and time travelled my serf forward 500 years and fed him! He obviously recognised his error, but he was so tightly wrapped up in his own belief sytem to the extent that it skewed his judgement, that was surprising.
Eat well girls and boys, have your 5 a day and don’t overdo the barbies BSM – charcoaled meat is potentially carcinogenic! (one for another day no doubt)
I was arguing the evolutionary genetics. And I mentioned that the big difference was actually medical care, which would include proper nutrition.
You are using it as a straw man argument to avoid answering the question if a child has a small chance of being injured with the vaccine, how would they fare with the actual disease. The other straw men he built was trying to argue the vaccination program in Islamabad was equivalent to that of Europe and North America with is “vaccine only works 50%.”
Like BSM, I am also at a loss at Derek’s thinking process. All I notice is that he gets so much factually wrong. But I appreciate BSM’s linking to the scienceornot website.
Which renders all attempts to engage with Derek a bit futile.
At a minimum I suppose he has acted as an exemplar of the utter incoherence of anti-vaxers.
Arguing with anti-vaxers is like hitting a jelly with a hammer. The bits fly all over the place and the mopping up can be laborious, but we can certainly say that the jelly loses any semblance of coherent shape.
And, it would seem, finally;
“charcoaled meat is potentially carcinogenic! ”
The issue, of course, is dose and duration of exposure. An analysis of the risks would require a careful analysis of the evidence. I’m not sure I’m interested in taking that journey with Derek.
Christ, I’m sure there must be a link somewhere showing ‘ pro vaccine nerds require sense of humour bypass’, I’ll bet you boys were oh so popular with the girls.
I can assure you my thinking process has served me well. I’d have clarity and the ability to reason over your brainwashed so call grasp on biology.
Corker from Chris – ‘Because he has not even given the talk yet. June 6, 2013 is next month’. does not see that the salient point made was the title of the lecture! classic.
Since you’ve popped up again just while I was sitting here looking back at your posts to see whether you had any identifiable train of thought that could be followed I’ll ask you a simple question.
Look at your own posts. With respect to the alleged links between MMR and autism repeat now any one of your points that has withstood scrutiny. Similarly with respect to your claim that the decline in measles cases is unrelated to the use of vaccination do you still wish to maintain that position?
Yes, the salient point made in the preview to the lecture was that by studying more ancient simple animals they can learn more about the immune systems in more complex animals like humans. That I got.
It had nothing with the genetic ability for humans to deal with the measles virus.
Chris, a final attempt.
You shot me down for stating that immune sytems evolve – I pointed you to a lecture by an immunoligist – title – ‘ How did our adaptive immune system evolve?’
can you see the where I was coming from? Honestly, the simpler things get, the more difficult it is for ‘clever’ people to grasp. Twas ever thus, I suppose. – hopefully the above is simple enough for BSM to grasp also.
Next, you clearly stated that the only reason that people survive measles today when compared to 500 years ago, was because we now have ‘ hospitals and medicine’ and dismissed my suggestion that nutrtion plays a vtal role in immune system function. You later altered your view by stating that obviously by stating hospitals/medicine, this would include nutrition – of course it would, you get fed when your in hospital, is that what you meant? Lol!
Tip for you mate, quit while your behind.
There is a difference between evolution and getting basic nutrition. The genome has not changed much in the last five hundred years, though how we live has.
But, even sanitation and good nutrition does not prevent getting measles. It does help with survival. And still there are those who will not survive. From Measles vaccine coverage and factors related to uncompleted vaccination among 18-month-old and 36-month-old children in Kyoto, Japan:
Do try to tell me how Japan’s sanitation and nutrition broke down just a decade ago.
You have made several factual errors. That includes posting CHS’s silly graph on just vaccine mortality. The level of measles infections was the same in the UK until the first measles vaccine was introduced in 1968. Also, there were still too many cases of both measles and rubella (vaccinating only girls was not enough), and no vaccine for mumps. The only time measles actually went away was after the UK introduced the MMR vaccine.
But then Wakefield committed fraud, which caused a needless and scare. So now measles is back, with at least eighty needing hospital care.
If you truly wish to defend Wakefield, then come up with the PubMed indexed papers dating before 1990 that show that the MMR used in the USA since 1971 caused in increase in measles. That was more than a decade before it hit the UK shores, so there must be come data for Wakefield to create his hypothesis.
Otherwise, we will just figure he made it all up. Which is precisely why Dr. Brent Taylor and Dr. Mady Hornig could not replicate the study.
“Corker from Chris – ‘Because he has not even given the talk yet. June 6, 2013 is next month’. does not see that the salient point made was the title of the lecture! classic.”
Salient to what? Again, it is unclear that you have any point to make. Now you say the entirety of your point is contained in the title of that talk. It’s only got seven words ” How did our adaptive immune system evolve?”. What’s the point of you citing it? That we have immune systems? Knew that. That they evolved? Knew that. That one arm is adaptive? Knew that. We still died and suffered from infectious disease in large numbers and vaccination has reduced that suffering for a number of important diseases. What’s your point, Derek?
‘What’s the point of you citing it? That we have immune systems? Knew that. That they evolved? Knew that’ – yes but Chris didn’t !!!!!! That’s the point!!!
Meanwhile, back at the ranch,
With respect to the alleged links between MMR and autism repeat now any one of your points that has withstood scrutiny. Similarly with respect to your claim that the decline in measles cases is unrelated to the use of vaccination do you still wish to maintain that position?
‘with respect to your claim that the decline in measles cases is unrelated to the use of vaccination’
Show me where I made the claim?
‘What’s the point of you citing it? That we have immune systems? Knew that. That they evolved? Knew that’ – yes but Chris didn’t !!!!!! That’s the point!!!
Typical really, whenever something that doesn’t fit in with your mindset is flagged up, it’s ignored and the discussion is sidetracked – you’d make a wonderful politician.
Oh, for goodness sake, if you were not trying to dissociate the vaccines from the drop in measles cases why did you post that graph of measles deaths over time?
>blockquote>Carry on with your clever diction and waffle. I’ll stick to the facts that are undeniable. If it looks like a duck…..
I’ll leave you with an interesting graph showing the incredible effect measles vaccination had on measles related mortality.
Once again Derek, either you were saying something that was wrong or you were saying something that was irrelevant.
As to you citing of that title for a talk, I am not pursuing that topic because you have presented no coherent argument. If you wish to clarify the point you were making then please do so. As far as I can tell you seem to be telling us that we have immune systems. Feel free to expand upon that.
‘Oh, for goodness sake, if you were not trying to dissociate the vaccines from the drop in measles cases why did you post that graph of measles deaths over time?’
Could it be that I was highlighting the drop in measles deaths over time? Or is that too obvious for you? Belly laughs are said to be good for your health, I must thank you for providing me with so many.
As for your other point –
‘Chris, a final attempt.
You shot me down for stating that immune sytems evolve – I pointed you to a lecture by an immunoligist – title – ‘ How did our adaptive immune system evolve?’
can you see the where I was coming from?’
Is that coherent enough for you, or would you like me to explain?
And why, I ask again, did you want to do that? It wasn’t just a picture plucked at random from the interwebs; as I understand it, about 90% of those would show us the wobbly pink bits of ladies. No, you chose it deliberately to make a point and you keep wanting to attack the validity of vaccination so I think it is safe to infer that you were trying to make some anti-vax point, which, to repeat myself yet again, was either wrong or irrelevant.
I’m staying well-clear of the whole serfs with measles issue
No, I can’t let those serfs go.
Derek, what is the point you are trying to make about serfs? What does it tell us about vaccination today.
Once again I’ve backtracked up this discussion wondering how it has meandered and you seem to be the source of the bizarre non-sequiturs. You posted this;
May 6, 2013 at 8:17 pm
So you are suggesting that a serf from the middle ages, was no more likely to succumb from measles than an unvaccinated person today?
And 11 minutes later posted this to extend your thought;
May 6, 2013 at 8:28 pm
link to talk given by Max D. Cooper, M.D. – Immunology, Emory University.
title – ‘ How did our adaptive immune system evolve?’
(note to self – email the above and tell him he’s mistaken)
You seem to have plucked the title of a talk from the internet about the evolution of the immune system as if it is of relevance to a discussion of human disease in historical times. It’s no wonder we can’t work out what you’re trying to say. It literally makes no sense.
Well, Derek is also ignoring the possibility of “death by Viking” for the serfs.
It makes about the same amount of sense.
Sorry, I am catching up with some episodes of “Vikings” from the cable channel on this side of the pond:
And we don’t suffer from Vikings now because we’ve evolved resistance against them. Brilliant! Once you see it like this, everything Derek says makes perfect sense.
Now all we suffer from is the trauma of putting together IKEA shelving units.
Measles is most of the time unoticed in children. It is generally more visible in adults. It cures on its own without treatment. Complications are possible on embryo less than 20 weeks old, for which it can be fatal. 10 to 40 cases of embryo measles happen in France every year for 750,00 births. The only way to have a protection against this risk for the embryo (and the baby) is for the mother to have contracted measles before pregnancy (typically in childhood) or to get vaccinated before pregnancy.
That sounds more like a description of rubella (German measles) than rubeola (measles):
Yes, rubéole is rubella. Measles is rougeole, Laurent might want to read the correct article before he concludes there’s nothing to worry about.
Thank you. I can see how one can get tripped up with errors in translation.
This article came out today and naturally mentions Steiner schools’ stubbornness about vaccinations:
Totnes schools not promoting MMR ‘are neglectful’
Last month, Dr Sarah Wollaston, Conservative MP for Totnes and a former GP, said she believed the reason many parents in Totnes rejected the MMR vaccine was because of claims made by the now-discredited Dr Andrew Wakefield that the jab was linked to autism and bowel disease.
The independent Rudolf Steiner and the town’s King Edward VI Community College both said they were “neutral on the question of inoculation and don’t actively advocate vaccination”.
The Rudolf Steiner said it “would not be sending a representative to the meeting”.
`Twas brillig, and the slithy trolls
Did gyre and gimble on the stage:
All mimsy were the burning scrolls,
And the moms’ rants outrage.
“Beware the Jabberwack, my son!
The jaws that bite, the lips that hisst!
Beware the Yupyup bird, and shun
He took his verbal sword in hand:
Long time the unmasked foe he sought —
So rested he by the Tumtum tree,
And stood awhile in thought.
And, as in huffish thought he stood,
The Jabberwack, with eyes of flame,
Came waffling through the Steiney wood,
And gurgled as it came!
One, two! One, two! And through and through
The verbal blade went snicker-snack!
He left it dead, and with its head
He went galumphing back.
“And, has thou slain the Jabberwack?
Come to my arms, my beamish boy!
O frabjous day! Wald-oaf! Belay!’
He chortled in his joy.
`Twas brillig, and the slithy trolls
Did gyre and gimble on the stage:
All mimsy were the burning scrolls,
And the moms’ rants outrage.
apologies to Mr. Carroll
@JimR – love it 🙂
I much as I disliked the wardolf steiner experience, I did get an injection there for MMR…..
Wakefield did not commit fraud the BMI did. The High court ruled him innocent. So intelligent and book read but little or no understanding.
A reference for your assertion please?
If you try to use wakefield as a valid point in your writings then you have no idea what your talking about. If you actually read the study he did and what happened and what he said, it has nothing to do with telling people to not vaccinate. The Antivaccination movement has been going on for centuries, other countries have banned certain vaccines because of the dangers they bring, cdc scientists have spoken out about the lies the cdc has told about vaccines and if you were to actually read the inserts that go with the vaccines you would know that no studies were ever done to see if they caused infertility, cancer or dna mutation. The hhs was sued in 2018 because they havent done the correct studies in over 32 years. The acip meetings that vote the vaccines in literally have no data supporting if they are safe or not. The science is never settled, we learn new things all the time. 60,000+ children are injured yearly and hundreds die and the problem will never be fixed because they hold 0 liabilty over there product.